@Article{RuscicaSDVCPRRSTVV:2022:RoLaCh,
author = "Ruscica, Romina C. and S{\"o}rensson, Anna A. and Diaz, Leandro
B. and Vera, Carolina and Castro, Aline Anderson de and
Papastefaneou, Phillip and Rammig, Anja and Rezende, Luiz Felipe
Campos de and Sakschewski, Boris and Thonicke, Kirsten and Viovy,
Nicolas and Von Randow, Celso",
affiliation = "{Universidad de Buenos Aires} and {Universidad de Buenos Aires}
and {Universidad de Buenos Aires} and {Universidad de Buenos
Aires} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Technical University of Munich} and {Technical University of
Munich} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)} and {Potsdam
Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)} and {Universit{\'e}
Paris-Saclay} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
(INPE)}",
title = "Evapotranspiration trends and variability in southeastern South
America: The roles of land-cover change and precipitation
variability",
journal = "International Journal of Climatology",
year = "2022",
volume = "42",
number = "4",
pages = "2019--2038",
month = "Mar.",
keywords = "dynamic global vegetation models, evapotranspiration, land-cover
change, precipitation variability, South America, subtropical
dipole, summer variability and trends.",
abstract = "Southeastern South America is subject to considerable
precipitation variability on seasonal to decadal timescales and
has undergone very heavy land-cover changes (LCCs) since the
middle of the past century. The influence of local LCC and
precipitation as drivers of regional evapotranspiration (ET)
long-term trends and variability remains largely unknown in the
region. Here, ensembles of stand-alone dynamic global vegetation
models (DGVMs) with different atmospheric forcings are used to
disentangle the influence of those two drivers on austral summer
ET from 1950 to 2010. This paper examines the influence of both
the El Niņo-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the dipole-like
first-mode of southeastern South American precipitation
variability (EOF1) on regional ET. We found that in the lower La
Plata Basin, ET was driven by precipitation variability and showed
a positive summer trend. Moreover, the region showed marked
seasonal anomalies during El Niņo and La Niņa summers but mainly
during EOF1 phases. On the contrary, in the upper La Plata Basin,
LCCs forced the negative summer ET trend and particularly reduced
the summer anomalies of the late 1990s, a period of ENSO and
EOF1-positive phases. In the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
region, the high ET uncertainty across ensemble members impeded
finding robust results, which highlights the importance of using
multiple DGVMs and atmospheric forcings instead of relying on
single model/forcing results.",
doi = "10.1002/joc.7350",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7350",
issn = "0899-8418",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Intl Journal of Climatology - 2021 - Ruscica - Evapotranspiration
trends and variability in southeastern South America The.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "03 maio 2024"
}